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FPL GW4 🦁 

🎯 Best fixtures & players to target for GW4

🤕 Player availability updates

📈 Potential price changes (and recent ones)

🔄 Transfers market news that could affect the FPL

🔢 The Gaffer’s “Free Hit” team for GW4

FPL GW4 🦁 

Let’s get straight into it.

🎯 Best fixtures & players to target for GW4

Best offensive fixtures ⏩️ 

Manchester City at home against Fulham

• Although City vs. Sheffield was no blow-out last weekend, the Etihad has become a tough place to visit in recent seasons.

• City tend to score (a LOT) at home, and Fulham will be without Calvin Bassey— though Tim Ream will return in his stead.

• The biggest thing to look out for is if Joao Palhinha transfers to Bayern Munich before Friday’s deadline— without him, this will be a rout for City… it could be with him as well.

Tottenham away to Burnley

• Spurs are creating chances for fun this season with Ange at the helm & James Maddison dictating play. Expecting 2-3 goals from Spurs in this fixture.

• Burnley have been fairly toothless in matches (albeit difficult ones) against City & Villa this season. They will have a point to prove.

Brentford at home against Bournemouth

• Brentford have had a great start to the season besides their draw to Crystal Palace at home.

• Even without Ivan Toney, they have been creating plenty of chances & conceding few. Take a look at this graph here ⤵️ 

  

• Bournemouth, on the other hand, have been conceding some of the most chances in the league throughout the first 3 GWs.

West Ham away to Luton

• Moyes’ men have been in red-hot form to start the season, scoring 7 & conceding 3 through their first 3 matches. 🥵 

• Luton, on the other hand, have been nothing short of abysmal. They are a defense that everyone should be targeting in FPL— conceding 7 in 2 matches.

• Expect the Hammers to strike the iron while it’s hot. ⚒️ 🔥 

Best defensive fixtures ⏪️ 

Manchester City at home against Fulham

• Let us again refer to the chart of xG for & xG against so far this season 👇️ 

  

  • Yes, that’s Fulham all the way down there with Luton & Burnley

Crystal Palace at home against Wolves

• Palace have only conceded 2 goals in 3 matches so far this season, and you can see on the chart above that they don’t concede great chances either. Hodgson’s way! 🔒️ 💎 

  • They have the 4th-lowest xG against this season.

• On top of that, Wolves are extremely dangerous on the counter attack but have been quite terrible at finishing their chances.

  • They have scored 2 goals in 3 matches, with a negative xG difference per 90 minutes so far this season.

Brentford at home against Bournemouth

• Refer to chart above! 🐝 

• Brentford have conceded 2 goals to Spurs & 1 to Crystal Palace, this weekend’s matchup vs. Bournemouth at home is still quite favorable.

Best players 🏃 

Forwards

• Erling Haaland— enough said

• Julian Alvarez— has started all 3 PL matches thus far in the KDB “SS/#10” role

• Nicolas Jackson— got his first goal last week & looks raring to go. Playing NFO at home.

Midfielders

• Mohamed Salah— at home to Villa who have conceded many goals (as long as he doesn’t leave Liverpool before the deadline…)

• Bryan Mbeumo— at home vs. Bournemouth; Brentford’s talisman in Toney’s absence. On FKs & PKs.

• Bukayo Saka— loves a game vs. United, is on PKs, & least droppable of the ARS midfielders.

• Jarrod Bowen— plays Luton away, red hot form, great connection with Antonio.

• Phil Foden— if he can get on the field vs. Fulham at home there’s potential for points.

• James Maddison— Burnley (A), been in red-hot form as of late!

Defenders

• Pinnock— home to BOU, potential for a clean sheet, huge aerial threat

• Chilwell— one of the best attacking DEFs in the game. Gets into threatening positions up the pitch. Playing NFO at home.

• Udogie— Burnley at home, getting high up the pitch in attack, cheap.

• Palace defender— Wolves at home & aren’t conceding much. Cheap as well!

Goalkeepers

• Ederson— pricey but has FUL (H), WHU (A), NFO (H), WOL (A)

• Vicario— BUR (A), Sheffield (H)

• Sanchez 🤨 — NFO (H), BOU (A) coming up… although Chelsea have been shaky in defense…

🤕 Player availability updates

Relevant FPL players only ❌ 

Players out ❌ 

• Van Dijk— suspended until Sept. 16 (could be extended)

• Varane— injury, out until late September

• Konate— muscle injury, likely out until international break

• Shaw— out for a few months with a muscle injury

• Enciso— out for 3+ months

• Mount— out for a few weeks with knock

• Stones— out for a few weeks (muscle)

• James— out for a few weeks (muscle)

Coin flips 🪙 

• Richarlison— knock, should play

• Akanji— illness

• Botman— knock, doubtful (day to day)

• Emi Martinez— knock, day to day

• Willian— knock

• Mudryk— knock, unlikely to start

Players back available ✅ 

• Zinchenko

• Ben Mee

• Andreas Peireira

• Felipe (Forest)

• Bernardo Silva

• Baldock

📈 Potential price changes (and recent ones)